Thursday, August 30, 2007

The numbers get worse

A nice summary of the challenges that continue to haunt the newspaper industry from Mark Potts. (Link to post here.)

Excerpts:

  • Goldman Sachs sees "no encouraging signs" in July ad revenue figures.
  • Bond-rating agency Fitch Ratings says the newspaper industry is doing worse than expected.
  • Moody's cut its rating on the New York Times.
Does anyone see a pattern here?

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Recent reads -- Wikinomics

Wikinomics
Don Tapscott and Anthony D. Williams

I'm a big fan of the concept and the book is basically an overview of how this works. If you're already sold on the idea, then I am not sure how much this book will help you.

While I am 100 percent convinced collaboration will work in some sectors (high tech for sure) I am less convinced about other sectors. And the book did not convince me that this will be a global phenomenon.

Two reasons:

  1. There are some functions or sectors where sharing information is not in the best interest of the participants. Sales and recruiting come to mind right away.
  2. Assuming you work in a sector where sharing information is OK, I still think we have a long way to go before people act this way. I agree it's the way to go, but people by nature are secretive and learn at an early age not to share (despite what our parents told us.)

It's also not clear to me how incentives will keep up. There are countless projects mentioned in the book where people go to huge lengths to collaborate. The response to Katrina is awe-inspiring. But in the normal course of business, people want compensation for their ideas. So any system that involves collaboration is going to have to have an equally innovative way to compensate people.

Update: I saw Don speak this week in Atlanta. Very compelling and interesting. Brings to life much of what is in his book. I am still skeptical about this idea working in every sector. (He used the example of the Boeing 787 being a collaborative effort, the same day Boeing announced a six-month delay in delivery due to issues with suppliers.) I also mentioned to Don the thought about compensation. My sense is that his examples, where people help others for only a fraction of the total benefit, will be exceptions. In the future the playing field will even out a bit. He agreed. Don also painted an interesting picture of why companies used to be closed -- transaction costs. Before the proliferation of information it was hard to find experts. Now it's easier to find them all over the world. There's less incentive to keep them on your payroll.

The real friendly skies

Yesterday's Wall Street Journal carried a front-page article on Capt. Denn Flanagan, a United pilot, who is very good at something we call customer service.


Some examples:


And when unaccompanied children are on his flights, he personally calls parents with reassuring updates. "I picked up the phone and he said, 'This is the captain from your son's flight,' " said Kenneth Klein, whose 12-year-old son was delayed by thunderstorms in Chicago last month on a trip from Los Angeles to see his grandfather in Toronto. "It was unbelievable. One of the big problems is kids sit on planes and no one tells you what's happening, and this was the exact opposite."
When pets travel in cargo compartments, the United Airlines veteran snaps
pictures of them with his cellphone camera, then shows owners that their animals
are on board. In the air, he has flight attendants raffle off 10% discount
coupons and unopened bottles of wine.
The examples go on and on. Pretty impressive stuff.

Thus, you have to ask yourself:
  • What is it about Flanagan that makes him do this? I don't have stats but I'm guessing he represents 1 percent of commercial pilots.

  • Why is that we are so amazed by this? The article in the Journal, written by Scott McCartney, has an almost "can you believe this?" tone to it. Shouldn't this be the norm?

  • Most important, why is this something that happened from the bottom up? From what I've read, this has nothing to do with United and its management. Companies spend millions trying to crack the code on customer service and in the end it comes down to a few common sense ideas. Nothing more nothing less.

I'd be real interested in seeing how a company can duplicate this on a broader scale. And maybe I've answered my own question. If this is so amazing to us, maybe it's because it's so hard to do on a large scale.

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Why newspapers are screwed

I saw this a while ago but only got around to posting something about it.

Since I'm not a numbers person and it's hard to argue with someone like Henry Blodget, who often knows what he's talking about, I was intrigued by his argument that newspapers, even if they shift over to the Web, are doomed. (Link to Blodget's full post here.)

In short:

  • Content creation will remain too expensive.
  • The bulk of advertising currently goes to the print product. and remains the most profitable part of the business. (Using The New York Times as example, 7.5 million online readers generate only 10 percent of the company's revenue.)
  • Even if every newspaper were to shift online and printing/distribution costs were eliminated the bulk of ads would dissipate onto other non-newspapers sites -- eBay, Yahoo, etc.

OK, it's hard to argue with the numbers but I'm still convinced that those who can create compelling, relevant content in a way people find usable will find great success. Perhaps not the degree they did before but there will always be a need for information and people willing to fund some part of it (the info itself or access to the eyeballs.)

Sunday, August 26, 2007

Remembering less

I have this theory that with the ubiquity of data it's hard to remember most of it. At least that applies to me.

I find that I come across a lot of good information but because I know I can look it up in the cloud I don't exert myself much and in the end forget the data and forget where to find it. (You can only bookmark so much.)

Stephen Baker's recent post on BusinessWeek.com made me realize I may not be the only one. (Link to full post here.) An excerpt:

Our machines these days maintain and transmit most of our numbers. We don't need to memorize many of them anymore. But since we do still maintain memory capability in our brains, even if it's vestigial, which numbers should we store up there? I'd say a phone number is a good start. People ask for it occasionally. Forms demand it. Social security number would be useful too. Maybe we'll work on that one today.

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Sharing secrets

For the past several months I've been dabbling with Facebook, mostly to just better understand it.

One thing that has struck me is the platform and the ease of sharing information. Thus, I've wondered aloud why this, or something similar, couldn't be used inside corporate firewalls among groups of people who need to share information.

The U.S. government apparently agrees.

The Director of National Intelligence, in December, will open up something called A-Space, basically a Facebook or My Space for spies. (Link to Financial Times article here.)

An excerpt:

Thomas Fingar, the deputy director of national intelligence for analysis, believes the common workspace – a kind of “MySpace for analysts” – will generate better analysis by breaking down firewalls across the traditionally stove-piped intelligence community. He says the technology can also help process increasing amounts of information where the number of analysts is limited.

Interesting, to say the least, that spies would want to share more info. But that's the point. Here's an opportunity for a community (the U.S. intelligence community) that needs to better share info to do just that.

Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Recent reads -- Notes from a Small Island

Notes from A Small Island
Bill Bryson

I am becoming more and more enchanted with his books. I am not big on travel books but Bryson's sense of humor is contagious. He's one of the writers I wish I could be like. And not just because he travels and gets paid for it. But his way of describing things is impressive.

Finding local gas prices

There's an example I constantly use when people ask me how local newspapers could improve. In short, I tell people that local newspapers could publish more, get this, local news. And it should be something they're truly interested in. And it should be something that they can post in print and online. And the online version can be open so people can contribute and participate. The specific example I use is gas prices. There's something everyone in town cares about. Print a list on the front page every morning based on whatever was on line the night before at 11 p.m.


Well, time to forget that. Too late. Google has just figured it out. I just noticed the new My Maps feature on Google Maps. (Link to Google Maps.) Under the "add content" feature you can overlay all sorts of information from housing prices to, yup, local gas prices. The gas prices are supplied by Gas Buddy (link to Gas Buddy here) and they overlay a map of my neighborhood.

The other feature is "create new map" which allows you to customize a map with specific information (pizza parlors, places to visit, maybe even gas stations with cheap gas.)


No more bullets, please

goFirst off, I have a great admiration for those who are effective communicators, particularly those who can stand up and present to a group of people. I have long thought that if you can do that (while also having something interesting to say) you would have a great chance of success.

That's why I am particularly fascinated by PowerPoint and its misuse. The fundamental problem with PowerPoint is that people underestimate how effective they can be. Instead, many people make PowerPoint the show and make themselves and added thought.

Seth Godin recently rehashed an old post which brings up some sensible guidelines. (Click here for full post.)

Some helpful excerpts from Seth:

  • No more than six words on a slide. EVER. There is no presentation so complex that this rule needs to be broken.
  • No cheesy images. Use professional stock photo images.
  • No dissolves, spins or other transitions.
  • Sound effects can be used a few times per presentation, but never use the sound effects that are built in to the program. Instead, rip sounds and music from CDs and leverage the Proustian effect this can have. If people start bouncing up and down to the Grateful Dead, you’ve kept them from falling asleep, and you’ve reminded them that this isn’t a typical meeting you’re running.
  • Don’t hand out print-outs of your slides. They don’t work without you there.

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

... and the sun sets in the West

Here's one of those news stories that just amazes me. Seems it has taken a study at Harvard to come to the conclusion that news organizations are threatened by the Web. (Link to full story here.) I kid you not. Here's the actual headline: "Web threatens traditional news organizations."

It gets better. Here's the lede:

The Internet is a threat to traditional news organizations, which no longer have
the advantage of being the first to report breaking news online, according to a Harvard University study released yesterday.


Aside from a few stats (which show readership of newspapers declining) this is something you could have seen in 1995.

Show me an article about what newspapers are doing about this and that would be news.

Space tourism

A recent article on Business 2.0 jumped out at me. It's a short profile of Jim Benson, founder of SpaceDev, a company that wants to send tourists into space. (Link to full article here.)


I think there's a lot to all this and it will eventually happen but the reason that it jumped out is the fact that this is virtually the same story that was written by some writer eight years ago. (Link to full article here.)

I have no doubt space tourism will take off. Amazing, though, that in eight years it hasn't really progressed much while in eight years in the 60s the race to the moon was announced by President Kennedy (1961) and accomplished (1969.)

One case where the government actually did something efficiently.

Is it really possible to be objective?

A recent post (maybe more of a rant) by Alan Meckler of Jupitermedia over how his company is portrayed on Wikipedia reminds me that I've long thought that it's almost impossible to be objective. (Link to post here.)

Alan's beef is that the entry is innaccurate. I have no way of judging if he's right or not, nor do I really care. But it seems that every institution that tries to be "objective" from the New York Times to Wikipedia needs to realize that anything a human writes is by definition not objective. Just providing both sides of the story and trying to stick to facts is not enough. Because in the end it depends on what facts you include, in what context they're portrayed.

In the case of Jupitermedia Alan is taking offense at some controversy he says never occurred:

Then read the next controversy. There is reference to something about social networking at JupiterResearch. First of all we do not own JupiterResearch anymore and secondly as far as I am aware there was never a controversy about social networking, JupiterResearch and Jupitermedia. Clearly whomever added this "controversy" was promoting a book or service or something that has nothing to do with facts or history.

Alan is objecting to something he's not "aware" of. Thus, this controversy probably could have happened. Or it could have been important to the writer, but not the company. Might it just be better to admit the article aspires to be objective but the reality is it isn't?

I am beginning to realize that what I call "point of view journalism", something The Economist is excellent at, is the wave of the future. Because there is so much media out there most consumers of mainstream media already come in with a perspective (bias?) to begin with and nothing is going to change their mind. (If someone thinks the New York Times is liberal, it's pretty certain they will feel that way not matter what the paper write. Same goes for Fox News and its perceived conservative slant.)

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Travels -- Maine

Off on a four-day weekend to Maine. Have not been here in a looong time but used to come her frequently in a previous job. Heading to Monhegan Island tomorrow. Visited it once, about 15 years ago, and am looking forward to a return visit. Not sure I could live there, but visiting is sure inspiring.


Please, don't call or write

I've long contended that most customer hotlines and online help tools are not there for the benefit of the consumer. Instead, they are barriers used to ward off pesky customers who take up a company's time.

Today's New York Times carries a piece on Netflix and their decision to have all queries go to a call center where they reach a live person. (Link to full article, registration required.)

Ms. Funk is one of 200 customer service representatives at the Netflix call center here, 20 miles west of Portland, where she is on the front lines of the online movie rental company’s efforts to use customer service as a strategic weapon against Blockbuster’s similar DVD-mailing service.
If companies really wanted to help customers they would make it easier, not harder, to get help. This decision by Netflix is acknowledgement that customers prefer a voice, not automation. And I truly hope it works out for them and increases customer loyalty. (The topic of getting to a voice, through all the decision trees, is the subject of another discussion.)

I know there are those who have numbers proving how costly a call center can be but I truly believe that companies don't understand how they can increase customer loyalty by making all this easier and friendlier. (As an experiment, trying finding the customer service number on a company's Web site. In most cases you will find it buried.)

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

I can't talk now

I am always a bit amused when I read a profile of an editor who refuses to speak to the reporter or only answers in an email.

From Michael Calderone's New York Observer profile of Portfolio and Joanne Lipman: (Link to full article.)

Ms. Lipman would only respond to questions by e-mailing a statement, which presented the Roth piece ..."

This strikes me odd for several reasons:

  1. Editors/reporters are always asking others to be quoted but when it is asked of them they are reluctant. Seems a bit hypocritical.
  2. By not answering the questions in person the editor/reporter is basically acknowledging that it's pretty scary being on the other end of the reporter's notebook.

I remember the first time I was interviewed by a newspaper reporter after working on newspapers for many years. What I thought I said and what appeared in print were vastly different. Stupid me for not being smarter.

Thus, I commend those who are rightfully cautious. But at the same time don't ask of others what you won't do yourself.

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Obits, death notices, whatever

Mark Thompson sent a note to Romenesko recently commenting on the definition of an obituary. He took umbrage at someone calling a "paid obituary" an "obituary." A brief excerpt:

As newspapers have stopped producing obituaries, they have begun soliciting faux articles written by the deceased relatives or the funeral home. These are not cheap; I recall a relative's "obituary" that recently ran in the Providence Journal for the tidy sum of $700 (only could people on the business side be so stupid as to wring money from those in mourning and then wonder why they are falling in public esteem). However, these should not be called obituaries. They are ads, plain a simple. They generally don't include less savory aspects of a person's past -- a divorce, for example -- and are crafted by the sensibilities of the survivors.
(Link to full letter.)

I recall many nights on the desk fighting with survivors over the details of the "obituary". Most didn't want to give the cause of death and most wanted to control what was said and also review the content. I used to think it was important to fight for that information for the general good of the republic even if it meant pissing off a reader or two.

In recent years I've changed my mind. "Paid obituaries" or whatever you want to call them are not a scam to "wring" money from bereaved survivors. Instead, it's a chance to those to control what is most certainly the only article ever written about their loved one. It's a chance to show some respect and decency. It's also a chance to charge someone for something I think they probably find worthwhile, especially if they can control what is said about their dearly departed. Would it better to have an objective piece on the person, warts and all? Sure, but weighed against further alienating an alienated reading public then I think not.

I also have a sneaking suspicion readers don't know the difference and if they did, couldn't care less. Another case of reporters fighting for readers' rights that the readers don't necessarily want.

I say all this referring mainly to small and medium size papers. Giants such as the NY Times, Washington Post, etc. can still afford to practice the art of writing obits, something I have great respect for. But the majority of papers would benefit from charging for obits.

Outsourcing newspaper production


News from New Zealand that the New Zealand Herald has begun outsourcing its editorial production. (Full story here.)

I've often wondered why newspapers owned their own printing presses but this move was inevitable. There will be the usual outcry from traditionalists but I'd be shocked if more people didn't follow this model.

Sunday, August 12, 2007

A chance to comment on the news

The news that Google will start to allow sources in news articles to comment on the final article has yielded all sorts of comments, most about how this is potentially going to harm the integrity of the articles. (Other commentators wonder if Google really knows what it's getting itself into arbitrating disputes and verifying the identify of those who claim they've been misquoted.)

Be that as it may, it's in my view a commentary on how the world feels it has been treated by the media. Traditionally it's been very hard for those quoted in articles to set the record straight. (I am not talking about disagreements over the intent of the story but over basic facts. The former is something that will always happen.)

Now quoted sources have a chance to publish their comments (supposedly unedited) for the world to judge for themselves.

Until now someone who felt they had been wronged had to contact the publication and convince a defensive editor that the reporter had erred. It usually ended with no resolution. If pushed, the newspaper would print a correction or would tell the aggrieved party to write a letter to the editor, which most times got heavily edited.

In several previous jobs I recall the editor resisting as much as possible the idea to print a correction. (This attitude, thankfully, has changed a bit, thanks in part to ombudsmen.) The New York Times seems to be one of the few exceptions. I also recall several discussions where someone suggested we randomly call subjects in stories to see how they viewed the end product. It was alway dismissed as "not cost effective." Translation -- they weren't interested in finding out.

In addition, it's been my experience that many wronged people who just don't bring up the subject knowing it will not lead to anything positive. (A fellow church member commented how the local paper quoted him and got all the facts wrong. I said I knew the reporter and was sure it was unintentional and that he should call the editor. "What's the point? he answered. "They'll just keep screwing it up.")

Google's experiment encourages more people to bring up corrections knowing the original party is not involved in the discussion and also knowing it will be seen by a much wider audience, the Web audience.

Newspapers, in my experience, have been very reluctant to correct what they term "minor" errors (spelling, title, etc.) but they need to realize it's those little things that set the tone. Errors there make the reader wonder how credible the rest of the report must be.

So you can't help wonder how much newspapers brought this upon themselves.

Update: Kara Swisher seems to agree. (Link to her post.)

Update: Paul Gillin has a similar take on this with an interesting perspective: (Link to post.)

Today, we have a new model. If someone interviews me for a story, I can post my version of the interview on my blog or publish an audio recording. I also think it's reasonable to ask the publication to link back to my comments or recording. After all, neither of us has anything to hide, right? This new approach to reporting would reduce the chance of error and provide readers with the option of reading a more detailed version of the information presented in the story.

Wednesday, August 8, 2007

Where the good content can be found

I was talking to a reporter from a well-known paper last week and he commented how most of his interesting material goes into this blog, not the paper. I've noticed, too, that most of the interesting reading I come across is on newspaper blogs.

Most of the material I read in a newspaper today is either out of date or does not offer an interesting perspective or angle. However, the material I read on newspaper blogs seems far more interesting.

This reporter commented the material for the blog was decided for him. It was whatever the editor rejected. Which leads me to wonder if some newspapers are so stuck in the past and formula writing they are missing a great opportunity for great content.

Having said that, here's an interesting report from Henry Blodgett about why, even with a strong online presence, many newspapers will still falter:

Put differently, the big problem for newspapers right now is not readers--it's revenue. A "unique user" online generates a fraction of the revenue and profit that a newspaper subscriber or reader does offline. Although the value of a unique user will continue to rise as advertising dollars flow online, it will almost certainly never approach the value that newspapers generate offline (in part because so many of the dollars spent in offline papers are wasted).

Tuesday, August 7, 2007

$1 million a week?

A posting from TechCrunch on layoffs at the San Francisco Chronicle. Nothing new there. What caught my eye is the amount of money the paper is losing a week. They point out:

The paper that is losing $1 million per week could fire every journalist it has on staff and still not break even. But that hasn’t stopped them from trying. 80 reporters, photographers and copy editors plus 20 in management will be gone by end of summer.

Fogey

I've been dabbling with Facebook for the past month or so and have found out that, at least in the view of BusinessWeek, I'm a fogey.

Seems that other people my age have discovered the site and its ability to connect people, according to BusinessWeek:

Lately, an influx of older users—professionals their 30s and 40s, many in high-tech is changing the face of Facebook. Among Silicon Valley executives, journalists, and publicists, Facebook has become the place to see and be seen. And it's not just tech. Consulting company Ernst & Young's Facebook network boasts 16,000 members, Citigroup's (C) claims nearly 8,500.
Having also checked out LinkedIn and Plaxo I have say I am starting to understand its appeal. The interface makes updating easy (and addictive.) Right now most of what I do has nothing to do with business but am seeing its potential.

The spike in attention was also prompted by Caroline Giuliani's recent episode with Facebook. Katie Couric also weighs in with a post from one of her interns. (If Katie Couric is on to this then maybe it is old news.) He outlines several of the key rules to Facebooking:

- Never become friends with someone you don’t know. (For example, I really wanted to become friends with Howard Kurtz, but did not. I thought it would be awkward since we have never met.) For the uninitiated: becoming someone’s friend means that there is a little icon on your other friend's profile that shows you two are buds.
- Don't friend someone the second you meet them. Wait a few days, because you don’t want to seem too eager. Chill.
- Never poke anyone. What does “to poke” mean? Don’t worry about it, just don’t do it.
- Don't become friends with your mom or any of her friends. Do I need to explain more?

Saturday, August 4, 2007

Recent reads -- Never Eat Alone

Never Eat Alone
Keith Ferrazzi

One-word summary -- network. And then network some more.

To be fair (sort of) Keith has made a career of this and has some good tactical advice for those of us (myself the prime example) who like to stand in the corner alone.

Key points:

  1. Don't keep score. It's about helping others. You will benefit in the end but don't look for immediate (or even long term) payback.
  2. Be the connector between networks. We all have groups we are part of. That's easy. The real power comes from introducing those two groups.
  3. Stretch. It never hurts to try to reach high to meet with people you think would never want to associate with you.
  4. Be yourself. Nothing is worse than coming across as an opportunist.

Clear thinking

One of the better pieces I've read recently is the deconstruction of a Deloitte memo. The article, by Lucy Kellaway of the Financial Times, is one of the best critiques I've seen in a long time as well as quite biting.

In her piece she compares the Deloitte memo, written by Jim Quigley, with one written by David Greer, deputy chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell's Sakhalin Energy Investment Company.


Now consider the style of the Deloitte memo. "Our identity reinforces the shared vision of our member firms," it says. This is so profoundly meaningless that I doubt if its author could tell me what he meant by it.

The next criterion is that the boss must sound as if he is on the same planet as the people he is trying to motivate. Again, high marks to Greer. He refers to "mutterings" and bad body language of staff at a recent meeting. In other words, he is aware that morale is bad and isn't frightened to discuss it.

Meanwhile, at Deloitte the new chief is oozing platitudes as to the state of the company. "I have never been more proud of who we are?.?.?. we strengthen our brand every day as we deliver value to our clients."

Next, a good motivational message must consider what it is that keeps employees in their jobs. Greer cites three reasons: "To earn a decent living for yourself and your loved ones," self-respect and desire for success. This had me cheering (even though the phrase "loved ones" is not one of my favourites). Most managers like to believe that workers are there for love of the company or, worse, for passion towards the brand. Money and other basics tend to get overlooked.

Ouch.

Friday, August 3, 2007

Magazine subs -- an experiment

I get about 10 magazines in the office, most of them related to business.

I have decided to let most of the subs run out for two reasons:

1. I am able to track most of the content online through Google Reader. Since I don't read most of the articles (I just skim to see if there's something I should be aware of) the Reader seems to serve its purpose. The only exceptions are The Economist and The New Yorker. Both, in view, are best consumed in print. Their lengthy articles don't translate well online.

2. I can't keep track of when the subs really expire. This has been going on for years and drives me nuts. I sometimes get renewal notices a year ahead of the expiration date. I finally started tracking expiration dates but seems like a lot of work for something so unimportant. I also don't like the few magazines that offer (is "offer" the right word?) automatic renewal. Feels like a runaway train -- something I have no control over.

As someone who has worked in the magazine industry it saddens me (a little) to do this but it's been a long time coming.

Update: I recently stumbled across this post from Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail and editor Wired. He makes the same point but far more convincingly and with more evidence. (Click here for post.)

Wednesday, August 1, 2007

Travels -- SF/Palo Alto

Am on the West Coast for two days. (Palo Alto today.) I was told by the boys to get some anti-Bonds posters but I had to explain that this is pro-Bonds country. I need to go to LA to get that stuff.


I did have an offer to go sailing yesterday but balked due to work commitments. What's the matter with me?


Also noticed the early rush hour. Was out for a 430 walk (jet lag) and astounded by the traffic. Everyone getting up early to meet the East Coast market openings